One Sales Week To Go

The song we’re a’ singing has changed from “Jingle Bells” to “Auld Lang Syne” which means there is only one week left in the Nielsen SoundScan year. Yes, soon we’ll be talking about 2011 in past tense. But WAIT! We’re not there yet! First, let’s see what happened last week during country music’s biggest single sales week of 2011.

Country shifted 2.186 million albums this past holiday week for a YTD total of 42.843 million. (Same week sales in 2010 were 2.319 million.) Top country albums stacked up pretty much as they have for the past few weeks with Lady Antebellum on top (110k+) followed by Scotty McCreery (85k+) and Jason Aldean (75k+).

I think it was Kanye West who once said to Taylor Swift, “These numbers are good, but Michael Buble’s Christmas album is really great!” Well, it’s possible that Mr. West didn’t say that exactly, but it’s not possible to dispute the power of holiday sales when properly harnessed. Buble’s offering sold a joyous 467k+ this week placing it in first place for all albums, giving it a 9-week total sales of close to 2.5 million units and placing smiles on the faces of  Warner Music execs everywhere. The year’s other prime mover has been Adele. Her 21 owned the No. 2 position as the holiday week closed with sales of close to 400k for the week and almost 5.68 million in 44 weeks.

We’ve been talking a lot about the importance of tracks on this page and this week’s tally adds fuel to the fire. Toby Keith’s incredible “Red Solo Cup,” a song that could only have been written by two pairs of brothers—the Beavers and the Warrens—was downloaded over 176k times this week followed by Taylor Swift’s “Safe & Sound” which features the Civil Wars and is included in the soundtrack of The Hunger Games which shifted over 135k copies. Luke Bryan also enjoyed a spin in the over 100k circle as his “I Don’t Want This Night To End,” sold 109k+ copies.

Fans last week downloaded 4.655 million country music tracks; YTD the tally equals 142 million. Comparing track vs. album revenue this past week shows albums contributing about $21.86 gross revenue (2.186 X $10) and tracks adding $6.005 million  (4.655 X $1.29). On a revenue basis tracks accounted for an additional 28%. (Of course all the albums are not all $10 items and some of the tracks are priced below $1.29.)

Overall numbers are shown on our chart. Country is down 2.1% and overall music sales are up 1.3%. Stay tuned as we shut down the 2011 tally next week and begin slicing and dicing results to find the hidden stories, trends and look toward 2012.

A Special Message From MusicRow

Dear Reader,

Thank you for your support over the past 30 years. Your patronage is something we will never take for granted as we document the changing shape of the music industry in Nashville and elsewhere. We appreciate YOU and look forward to continuing our journey together as we ring in the New Year.

Our offices will be closed next week as we take time off to be with our family and friends. Have a safe and happy holiday.

Best wishes from all of us at MusicRow.

 

Pandora Tussles Traditional Radio Over Ad Revenue

As recently as three years ago there was little or no mention of Pandora at the annual country radio broadcasters event in Nashville, CRS. Now a public company, Pandora is very much on radio’s radar. Some would say that Clear Channel’s iHeartRadio online streaming app is a direct response to the streaming giant which saw gross revenues of over $50 million last year.

So it should be no surprise that a competitive tug of war is brewing between terrestrial and Internet radio as the two business models spar for success, and more specifically—ad dollars.

According to a Wall Street Journal article (12/22) there is “an intensifying dispute between traditional radio broadcasters and online radio service Pandora Media Inc. over how their audiences are measured.” Answers to this question will of course have a direct effect on ad revenues.

Arbitron Inc. is responsible for measuring and providing audience estimates for terrestrial radio, but doesn’t currently measure online audiences for Pandora or other services.

Advertising revenue is especially important to the Pandora business model since it must pay royalties on every stream/listener that is participating. This means that its profits do not scale as the service acquires more listeners. Therefore ad revenues are a critical component for success. One assumes that with that underlying motive, Pandora employed firm Edison Research to wrangle its online data to create an apples to apples metric comparing online listeners with traditional radio listeners.

Realizing what was at stake, traditional radio fired back by demanding Arbitron issue a report discounting the new metrics as not being directly comparable to Arbitron audience data.

If it all sounds confusing, it is actually very simple. Traditional radio has the largest piece of the ad revenue pie, and is determined to keep it. WSJ noted, “Pandora founder Tim Westergren said in an interview that Arbitron’s statements were part of a ‘concerted effort’ to keep his company out of the radio industry even as online radio becomes a credible competitor. ‘The broadcast industry does not want the world to know about us, basically, he added.”

Earlier in the week Clear Channel subsidiary Katz 360 cut ties with Pandora and said it would cease to sell digital ad time on online services like Pandora.

Artist Updates (12/23/11)

The Band Perry will start out 2012 with rockets red glaring, when they perform the national anthem at the 76th AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic on January 6. The classic college football matchup pits the Arkansas Razorbacks against the Kansas State Wildcats at a sold-out Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Tx. TBP is also set to play Dick Clark’s New Year’s Rockin’ Eve With Ryan Seacrest 2012 on January 31 in New York City, along with Lady Gaga, Justin Bieber, Pitbull and Hot Chelle Rae.

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Speaking of January 31, Joe Nichols has been added to the lineup of Fox’s American Country New Year’s, which airs live from Las Vegas at 11 PM/ET. Nichols joins previously announced performers Lauren Alaina, Rodney Atkins, Eli Young Band, and Toby Keith, as well as co-hosts Rodney Carrington and Pawn Stars’ Rick Harrison and Austin “Chumlee” Russell.

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Sibling duo The Roys will host A Nashville’s New Country Christmas, a syndicated radio special, on December 24 and 25. The seasonal program, featuring holiday music from Kellie Pickler, Brad Paisley, Taylor Swift and more in addition to The Roys, will stream online at www.nashvillesnewcountry.com and on 650 AM WSM.

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Country newcomer Lisa Matassa released her debut album Sunrise Highway on December 21, and is available for digital download now. The album includes her rendition of “The Christmas Song” with the NYC Broadway Youth Ensemble and the video is available for streaming at CMT, GAC, and TCN. The Long Island native is offering free streams of the album on her Facebook fan page.

CoverGirl Gets Lashed For Taylor Ad

Thanks to her relationship with CoverGirl, Taylor Swift has brought her youthful visage to the pages of glossy magazines everywhere. But there’s a new advertisement with our beloved T-Sweezy that won’t be appearing in print in the near future. Super sadface.

According to the New York Times’ Media Decoder blog, the ad for CoverGirl’s NatureLuxe Mousse Mascara was “enhanced” to make Taylor’s lashes look even more full. Then those killjoys in the Better Business Bureau’s National Advertising Division got wind of the doctoring and ruled it “misleading,” prompting CoverGirl owner Procter & Gamble to yank the ads.

The Times article explains that N.A.D. examined the ad’s claims and the implied benefits, determining that the enhanced photos wouldn’t provide an exact facsimile of Taylor’s lustrous lashes. Ads don’t typically get pulled for “airbrushing,” so it’s apparently a pretty thin line for what constitutes fraudulent advertising.

Which is strange, because let’s face it: advertisements, particularly in television, regularly “enhance” the truth in all manner of ways to exploit us. Like, oh no, can I really not get ripped abs without exerting any actual effort or thwart bank robberies using only a buffalo chicken sandwich? Now I suppose you’re going to tell me that it doesn’t work out between Kim Kardashian and what-his-name? Wait, don’t tell me. I want it to be a surprise.

In fairness, CoverGirl did add some fine print to the Taylor spot that reads “lashes enhanced in post production.” See? No harm done. I wonder if a generation of dudes wishes that Axe Body Spray had put fine print to the effect of “spraying Axe body spray will not make an army of scantily clad women cross the ocean for you”?

In other Taylor news, she gave fans an early Christmas present (via Instragram) last night (12/22) with the release of “Safe & Sound,” a collaboration with The Civil Wars that appears on The Hunger Games soundtrack. It is available for digital download in the iTunes store right now.

Also, these hamsters rule. Just sayin’.

Swift, Chesney Score Year’s Top Tours

It’s no secret Taylor Swift and Kenny Chesney had two of the biggest tours of 2011, and just-released year-end numbers show exactly how big.

Swift’s box office receipts totaled $97.3 million, and Chesney’s were $84.6 million, according to Billboard Boxscore, which tracked data from ticket sales between Nov. 1, 2010 and Nov. 8, 2011.

U2’s record-breaking 360 tour wrapped its final leg in 2011, raking in $293.3 million at the box office, and moving almost 3 million tickets, to become the year’s biggest outing, according to the report. Since launching in 2009 it brought in more than $736,000,000, and more than 7 million fans, all-time highs for the touring industry.

Country Stars Unlikely To Mimic Comic Sales Model

Comedian Louis C.K. recently earned over $1 million selling a DRM-free comedy special, direct-to-fans from his website for $5. And once again the process gives rise to questions about new business models, piracy and online marketing. Digital Music News publisher Paul Resnikoff offered an insightful overview, “Perhaps the error is to link these accomplishments with developing artists, because creating stardom is now an entirely different game. Heading into this, C.K. had major television exposure, access to shows like Fallon, and an audience that wanted more. That doesn’t diminish the accomplishment, but definitely changes the perspective. Because in the end, Louis’ challenge was less about building fans, and more about satisfying and monetizing the ones he already has.”

Louis C.K. hired a team to tape and create a video of two performances at the Beacon Theater in Manhattan and then distribute the video directly via a website built for that purpose. According to various reports, within 12 hours, over 50,000 fans had downloaded the video, enough to cover all costs. It took 12 days to reach sales of $1 million.

In a note on his website the artist explained, “The experiment was: if I put out a brand new standup special at a drastically low price ($5) and make it as easy as possible to buy, download and enjoy, free of any restrictions, will everyone just go and steal it? Will they pay for it?”

In a subsequent note (12/13) C.K. detailed costs and revenues for the project pointing out what would have happened if a large company had funded the project.

“…they would have charged you about $20 for the video. They would have given you an encrypted and regionally restricted video of limited value, and they would have owned your private information for their own use. They would have withheld international availability indefinitely. This way, you only paid $5, you can use the video any way you want, and you can watch it in Dublin, whatever the city is in Belgium, or Dubai. I got paid nice, and I still own the video (as do you). You never have to join anything, and you never have to hear from us again.”

Most recently, on Dec. 21 a note appeared on the web site expressing the comedian’s intention to divide the million dollars into four pieces including charities, his production costs, staff and himself.

Will Country Artists Follow This Path?

Is there a lesson or anything new going on here for the music industry?  You could answer, “Maybe” to both questions. But with respect to country music we have yet to see an established star dump the label and go direct. Perhaps that’s because inside the Music City format, record sales don’t really mean much for most superstar artists. The real money is earned filling arenas and (for a select few) stadiums. The secret behind accomplishing that task is getting strong support from country radio. Fans don’t follow album sales on SoundScan each week, but they do listen on the airwaves to hear their favorite artists. Can you name a single country artist routinely filling 12,000 seats and up who isn’t getting country radio exposure?

Good managers know where an artist’s bread is buttered and they know who grooms the thoroughbred promotion teams in the race for country radio airplay. Yes, the major labels. So sure, there may be a dozen or so country music artists that could easily make money mirroring the Louis C.K. DTF experiment. But eschewing a major label might also result in short term gain and long term career suicide. Major label support in this format is only about one thing, radio dominance for the country audience. Until that changes, don’t look for artists to fool around with a paltry million dollars at the risk of losing $50 million at the box office.

Singled Out—Holiday Edition

Tim McGraw has a holiday single making the rounds called “Christmas All Over The World,” and its available for free download through The Boot. “I’m very appreciative of the support my fans have given me over the years, and I wanted to say ‘thank you’ to them with this new holiday song,” says Tim. “I’m really excited to be recording again, and I’ll have new music to share early next year.” Starting in summer 2012, McGraw will join Kenny Chesney on the stadium-ready Brothers of the Sun Tour.

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Country legend Tanya Tucker has released “Merry Christmas Wherever You Are” to great reviews. “With so many troops deployed overseas and with the economy being such that people are having to relocate to find work, recording this track was a very personal and emotional experience,” says Tucker. “Also, when I recorded that vocal, I was thinking of all the parents who had missing children and all the children who no longer had a parent to share this very special time.” The song is available digitally now.

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Singer/songwriter Raul Malo is also getting into the Christmas spirit, with his updated and timely version of “I’ll Be Home For Christmas.” Inspired by presidential candidates’ criticizing the return of U.S. troops from overseas as “irresponsible,” Malo performs the song with newly found conviction. “We made this video because we just felt like we had to do something to let the troops know that, politics aside, the country is indebted to them for their service.  “The embarrassments and the failures are the politicians,” says Malo. Hear the song and see the video here. In 2012, Malo plans to reunite with his old band The Mavericks for the Stagecoach Festival in April.

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BNA newcomers The Lunabelles (Olivia, Dominique, and Gabby Arciero) have released their take on the holiday classic “The Christmas Song.” The group also recently participated in the 59th Annual Nashville Christmas Parade with Sarah Darling and Vince Gill.

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Newly launched MD Records and its flagship artist Jason Thomas have released a recording of “Let It Snow,” available for download on iTunes. Profits from its sale will be directed to the Make-A-Wish Foundation.

Other holiday songs looking for spins:
Toby Keith & Sammy Hagar/Santa’s Going South/SDU
Big & Rich/Blue Christmas/WMN
Joe Nicols/Old Toy Trains/Show Dog-Universal
Uncle Kracker/My Hometown (Christmas Version)/Atlantic/BPG
Joey + Rory/Remember Me/Let It Snow/Vanguard/Sugar Hill
Lisa Matassa/The Chrismas Song/It Is What It Is Records/Nine North
Craig Campbell/I’ll Be Home For Christmas/Bigger Picture
Andy Gibson/The Christmas Song/R&J Records
Rachel Holder/Christmas Eve/Curb
Lucy Angel/Mr. Santa/GForce
Little Big Town/Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas/Capitol
Jessica Ridley feat. Chris Cline/The Spirit Of Christmas/Nine North/Turnpike
Jesse & Noah/I Want Texas For Christmas

Charlie Cook On Air; Christmas Thoughts

This is the best time of the year. Without question, people are nicer to each other. I love that people wear goofy Christmas ornaments on their clothes. I have also discovered that I like Christmas music more than I realized and have been listening a lot this year. Maybe the music is getting better. Maybe I am getting soft. Whatever.

As you read this I will either be heading to the Pittsburgh airport to fly to LA, be on the plane, or if you read this at 4:30 AM/ET Saturday, be getting off the plane to find my way to my home in Southern California. This for my 50 hour visit home.

As long a day as today will be, I will have come into contact with hundreds of people doing the same thing: rushing toward family and friends excited about seeing them for the first time in maybe the entire year, or rekindling a relationship during the holidays.

However you look back on the year, take a second to remember a GOOD thing that happened to YOU in 2011. I know that we all have challenges and they are the issues that need attention, but please take a second and remember a good day. A new friend. A good memory that will make you smile for just a minute.

Many of our friends and family are experiencing a Christmas season without a job for the first time in their careers. Some are on their second Christmas without work. This can be a cruel business. We chose to work in radio or records for a multitude of reasons. Changing jobs every few years was not necessarily one of them.

My first job in radio came a few days after the Christmas holidays in, well, many years ago. I remember saying to my family that this was a great Christmas gift, to get the job of my dreams and to start on January 2. The job of my dreams paid $2.10 an hour. But I worked 10 hours of overtime every week to make $110.00 a week

Each Christmas I think back on how excited I was to get that job and to start on what has been, besides my beautiful daughters Jacki and Izzy, the most rewarding part of my life. This year I look back and say thanks again for all of the friends I have worked with in radio and records.

I may be shallower than you but I can count on one hand the friends I have that are not in our business. I would have a few fingers left over, by the way. I am tied to all of you in radio and records at every level.

So however tough it is this Christmas for many who started the year as programmers, disc jockeys, record reps or the other job titles that make up Country Music/Radio and are now looking for their next opportunity, thank God that you have your friends and family and remember the feeling you had going into that first job.

Merry Christmas and let’s all hope for a Happy 2012.

Digital Updates

 

Rhapsody has surpassed the one million paying subscribers milestone. The service streams more than 10 million songs per day.

It’s been a big year for Rhapsody, which celebrated its 10th anniversary earlier this month, acquired Napster in November, and launched a social music experience in September.

Rhapsody is available on 60+ mobile devices, and 2011 was the first year that a majority of the playback came on devices other than home computers.

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Four albums have sold more than one million digital copies:
Mumford & Sons, Sigh No More
Eminem, Recovery
Adele, 21
Lady Gaga, Fame

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One in four consumers plan to give gift cards that can be used for digital music purchases this season, according to the Consumer Electronics Association. One in five consumers plans to give a gift card that can be used for electronic book purchases, and 16 percent for app purchases.